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<div><p>8??1?ワ?缇????ㄨ????璁??冲?涓?璋????﹀?洪???╃??25涓??虹?癸?杈惧??.00%~2.25%锛?寮????ㄧ??瀵圭??借揣甯??跨??ㄦ?????寸???虫敞??缇????ㄦ??姝ゆ??????涔?涓轰?娆′腑?????????涓猴???涓????杞???惧?ㄦ????寮?濮?锛??????????瀵圭?娴?涓?琛?椋??╁苟淇?杩???????????姝ゅ?锛???璁″??9?????????缂╄〃??浣?锛?????涓や釜??缁???锛?8??1?ヨ捣??????</p><p><br/></p><p>缇????ㄩ?????ㄦ??宸插???/p><p><br/></p><p>7??璁????璁??????????浼?璁?????归?靛?句?????绗??娆′?璁??姝ゅ??甯??洪???????5涓??虹?圭??姒?????5%锛?????0涓??虹?圭??姒?????5%???ㄥ????归?靛?句???锛?缇????ㄤ富甯??濞?灏??ㄦ?伴?诲??甯?浼?涓?涔??胯?锛?6?????归?靛?炬??????ㄤ?2015骞?2??寮????????ㄦ??浠ユ?ラ?娆″?虹?伴????俊?凤?骞惰〃绀衡??缇????ㄥ???瀹芥?炬?跨??????芥?т?瀹?绋?搴︿?澧?寮轰????????剁????ㄧ??澹版??涓??婚?や?????蹇???锛?杩????涓??存俯????璐у??跨?淇″?凤???杩?涓?娆＄???????纭??浜?缇????ㄨ??ヤ??????ㄦ????</p><p><br/></p><p>?ㄧ????ㄨ???0骞寸???╃??璋??村???蹭腑锛?浠?1950骞村??981骞寸??澶у?????ㄦ????锛??????ㄦ?????垮害?讳?????????ㄦ??锛????堕??????甯告????缁???锛??冲?ㄤ?骞寸???虫?寸???堕?村???????杩?100涓??虹?广???????挎?ョ??灏辨????????浣????朵唬锛?浠?2009骞村??015骞寸??浣????朵唬??互璁や????涓???寸??70骞寸???╃???ㄦ????</p><p><br/></p><p>浠?6?????归?靛?炬?ョ??锛?缇????ㄩ?????????????ㄦ??涔???~2骞翠???灏变?缁???锛???姝わ?姣?杈?绗﹀???扮??澶у?╃???ㄦ????璧风?癸?涔?灏辨????互瀵规??1950骞翠唬?????点???冲?ㄧ?杩?1~2骞寸????缁????????锛?缇????ㄥ氨浼???褰?楣版淳锛?绛?寰?缁?娴?澧??垮???????╁???杩硅薄锛?骞堕???惰浆涓虹揣缂╂??搴︺??</p><p><br/></p><p>?惰???ㄨ????璁????锛?甯??哄凡缁?娑???浜?????5涓??虹?圭??棰???锛???寮?涓昏?????浼?璁???12??浼?璁????宠?涓?灞?寮???????锛?甯??洪???9??浼?璁???????5涓??虹?圭??姒?????5.3%锛?涓???????姒???涓?8.7%锛???2??浼?璁?疮绉?????0涓??虹?瑰??浠ヤ???姒???杈惧?颁?55.6%??濡???杈惧?伴???锛??ｄ?缇????ㄥ氨?ㄥ??骞翠腑绱?Н????5涓??虹?癸?绗﹀??澶у?????ㄦ??涓???缁????????圭?广??</p><p><br/></p><p>缇??界?娴???蹇у????</p><p><br/></p><p>???板?????缇??戒?瀛ｅ害??瀹?GDP?版??ソ浜?甯??洪?????1.8%锛?褰?寰?2.1%??澧??裤??灏界?浠???杩?4涓??搴︽?ョ??锛?缁?娴?澧?????蹇?姝ｅ?ㄩ??娓?涓?绉伙?浣?浠??朵????ㄧ????ㄦ?瀹???缁?娴?娼?????杩?锛?涓?澶?浜???015骞?2??寮?濮?????疆?????ㄦ????GDP?洪?翠腑?ㄣ??姝ゅ?锛??告??朵???杈剧?娴?浣?锛?缇??界??缁?娴?澧??垮敖绠℃????涓???锛?浣?浠??跺???绔?浜?????娆у???虹??浜?瀛ｅ害GDP锛?7??31?ユ???存?帮?浠?褰?寰?1.1%锛?缁х画缁存???茶蒋琛ㄧ?帮????垮ぇGDP褰?寰?1.4%锛?寰?寰?浜?2016骞翠互?ョ??浣?浣?锛?婢冲ぇ?╀?GDP??浠?2018骞翠?瀛ｅ害寮?濮???缁??婊?锛??卞?藉??娣遍?疯?辨?娉ユ江锛????ョ??涓?纭???ф??绱??娴?琛ㄧ?般??</p><p><br/></p><p>杩????????6??PCE?????版?????蹇у????锛?PCE褰?寰?1.35%锛?杈????兼????涓???锛?缁х画杩?绂?%??缇????ㄧ????锛??稿?PCE??褰?寰?1.6%锛?灏?骞?涓?娑ㄤ负杩???涓???????浣宠〃?般?????????ュ氨??????ㄨ?????蹇х??涓昏??ユ?锛??舵??缁??茶蒋??琛ㄧ?板?澧???缇????ㄥ??瀹????????冲???</p><p><br/></p><p>?︿??归????规????缁?娴?瑜???功锛?缇??藉?藉????缁?娴????典????板?哄????锛?涓?纭???у??????翠?缁?娴?娲诲?ㄤ???娓╁??澧??匡??跺???????????翠??ユ??澧??????垮????????垫????????锛?涓?杩?浣?瀹?寤虹?娲诲?ㄦ?翠???骞筹???浣?瀹?????涓?寤虹?娲诲?ㄥ??垮己?诧?涓?绉???涓?娑ㄣ??寮洪???ㄥぉ姘?瀵艰?村??涓?浜ч?????虫补??澶╃?舵?浜ч???虹?颁?????杩?杈?涓???娲昏????靛?ㄥ?板?轰??村?虹?板??????</p><p><br/></p><p>灏变???澧??块??搴︽?涔????????剧?锛?涓?杩??冲?ㄥ??甯??轰??剁揣寮?锛?澶??板?板?哄???ㄩ?ㄦ????????己???ュ??????涓诲????杩?澧???绂??╁????ュ?瀵瑰?冲?ㄥ????己?????碉??翠娇?????缁???匡?澧??块??搴︿?????淇???涓??淬??</p><p><br/></p><p>?ュ??涓????猴???????淇???绋冲?锛?浣?杈??????虹?颁?婊????变??崇???楂????冲?ㄥ?????????锛?澶у??板?板?虹????浜х??ユ?????虹?颁???锛??惰??锛?浼?涓?灏???????澧???杞???扮?绔??璐硅?????藉?????版?????绔?浜????剁害??渚?搴???灏????ㄥ????浜у??浠锋?间?娑ㄧ??????锛??㈡?????ㄦ??浠锋?肩?变???姹?涓?????璧板急??</p><p><br/></p><p>?????ㄦ??涓???榛???</p><p><br/></p><p>缇??界???????ㄦ??宸茬?寰??扮????ㄧ??纭??锛???互棰?瑙?锛??ㄦ???ョ??1~2骞撮??锛?缇????ㄥ?浼???缁??拌????╃??浠ユ?芥??????锛?????缁?娴?淇?????ソ澧??裤???ㄨ?涓?ぇ?????锛?榛???灏?浼??ㄦ?翠釜?????ㄦ??涓??????虹??琛ㄧ?般??涓??村?扮????ㄧ????????杩??ヤ??╃????瑙?????涔???锛?榛???灏?淇????稿?濂界??淇??煎??兼?????</p><p><br/></p><p>涓?杩??煎?娉ㄦ???????浠?2018骞寸????瀛ｅ害浠ユ?ワ?榛?????澶у???煎?搴﹀凡缁?瓒?杩?22%锛?骞朵?????甯??哄凡缁??ㄥ??娑???浜???2???????????锛???姝わ??板勾搴???锛?榛??????介??瑕??ㄤ?杞???????璋???涓?娈垫?堕?寸??瀹藉????′??村???洪???╋????????界户缁??娑ㄣ????COMEX榛???????浠??ュ??涓???互???帮?榛?????璐х????澶?澶存??浠?宸茬?褰?寰?2017骞???浠ユ?ョ????楂??癸???????瀛??ㄥ?澶村??琛ユ??甯︽?ョ????璋????姐???﹀?锛?杩?涓や釜???ワ??ㄧ????ㄩ??????︾??甯??哄??寮?涓???块?╂??缁?凡缁?寰??版???锛?甯??哄凡缁?杈炬??浜??????辫????ㄨ?涓ゅ?ㄥ??锛???璁烘????虹???姣????哄?告?剁????????妯″??杩????块?╄揣甯???琛ㄧ?帮??芥??绀鸿??????块?╂??缁???蹇???娑????????斤?杩?涔?灏???涓洪??????????界??璇卞??涔?涓?????姝わ??ㄩ???寰?浠ョ户缁?????灞″???伴?涔???锛?杩???璀︽??????甯??烘??缁?????????借?????</p><p><br/></p><div 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