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<div><p>浠?骞翠互?ワ???浠锋?翠?寤剁画?诲勾??瀛ｅ害浠ユ?ョ??寮哄?裤??涓?瀛ｅ害甯??洪?璁＄??藉??绋??烘?娑???锛?缁?娴??剧?锛?缇????ㄥ??卞????浆涓哄勾搴??????榛???璧板己??4??锛?缇????ㄤ富甯??濞?灏?寮鸿?缇??界?娴?杩?琛???ソ锛?浣????????????剁?拌薄锛??????板??????????????寰?澶у???斤?灏?瀵硅揣甯??跨?淇?????蹇?锛???浠疯??????????涓??????姐??5??涓???互?ワ??变?缇??????跺???????????ㄥ??璁㈠??绛??版????琛ㄧ?扮?茶蒋锛?甯??洪?璁＄??戒?瀛ｅ害缁?娴?澧???灏?涓?婊?锛?缇????ㄥ勾搴??????????娆″??娓┿??杩?????锛?缇????ㄤ富甯??濞?灏???搴﹀?虹?版???捐浆??锛?琛ㄧず灏?涓ヨ??瀵瑰?缇??戒????????锛?灏?????蹇?瑕????界淮??缁?娴??╁?锛?甯??哄?缇??????????????蹇?????楂?锛?浠ョ????ㄤ负棣????ㄧ??璐у??跨??惧??瀹芥?撅?榛???蹇????捐??涓?????</p><p><br/></p><p>??????28??COMEX榛???涓?娑?27.8缇???/???革???412.5缇???/???革?涓?娑?.95%??COMEX?介?朵?璺?0.2缇???/???革???5.35缇???/???革?璺?骞?1.29%??娌???涓?娑?9??/????16.85??/????娌??朵???9??/????锛???691??/??????浜烘?甯?????????锛??烘????骞冲?诲勾骞村?姘村钩锛?绂诲哺浜烘?甯???.8661锛?????.01%??</p><p><br/></p><p>涓??璐告???╂?︾?靛?ㄥ??烘??缁?/p><p>澧????ㄧ??缁?娴?涓?琛?????<br/></p><p>浠?骞村勾??锛?涓??涓ゅ?介???瀵???灞?寮?璐告??纾???锛?甯??烘????棰?璁″???瑰?浜?6??搴??????娑??ㄩ?ㄥ?崇?锛?杈炬??璐告????璁???4??搴?锛?缇??芥?荤??规???????璐告???崇???搴﹀?虹?板ぇ杞???锛?涓??璐告???╂?﹀??绾э?5????锛?涓?????圭?镐???寰??扮???崇???G20宄颁?涓????瑰????????锤??纾???锛?涓??硅?姹???娑??ㄩ?ㄥ?崇?浣?涓鸿揪????璁???????锛???姝わ?棰?璁＄????浠??句互杈炬??璐告????璁???缇??戒?涓??姐??娆х?????╁?界??璐告???╂?︼??靛?ㄥ??烘??缁??澶??藉ぎ琛???琛ㄧず璐告??椋??╁??匡?澧???浜??ㄧ??缁?娴?涓?琛?????锛??ㄧ???堕??涓?PMI???扮?茶蒋???裤??<br/></p><p><br/></p><p>?????姐??涓???缁?娴?褰㈠?垮??灞?????2019骞翠腑???ュ??绉帮??ㄧ??缁?娴?澧??挎??ㄦ?剧?锛???杈惧?藉?????灞?涓??藉???澧??块?娴??????颁?璋?锛??????????В?崇??璐告??绱у??崇郴???跨?涓?纭???т互??浼?涓?淇″???杞???锛?2019骞村??2020骞村?ㄧ??GDP澧???????棰?璁″???娆℃?剧???.7%??2.9%???ュ??璀﹀??绉帮??崇???????藉???灞?涓??藉?锛??瑰??????哄?ｄ弗??渚?璧???褰卞??缁?娴?浣????藉?锛?浜х??浜?涓ラ????婧㈠?烘??搴????介??璐告??娲诲?ㄩ?挎??浣?杩蜂?浼???寮辨??璧??????骞跺?涓???????浜у??澧??夸骇??涓??╁奖????</p><p><br/></p><p>缁???缁?缁?涓?璋??ㄧ??缁?娴?澧???</p><p><br/></p><p>缁???缁?缁????版?ュ??琛ㄧず锛?涓??界?娴???????惰?浜烘??蹇с???ㄧ??璐告??绱у?灞??垮奖??涓?锛??ㄧ??澧??夸?灏?浣?浜?姝ｅ父姘村钩??缁???缁?缁?灏?2019骞村?ㄧ??GDP澧???棰???涓?璋?0.1涓??惧???硅??.2%锛?2020骞寸淮????.4%涓?????灏?缇???019骞?DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.2涓??惧???硅??.8%锛?2020骞?DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.1涓??惧???硅??.3%??灏?娆у????019骞?DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.2涓??惧???硅??.2%锛?2020骞?DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.2涓??惧???硅??.4%??缁存??涓???019骞村??2020骞?DP澧???棰?浼板??.2%??6.0%涓?????灏??ユ??DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.1涓??惧???硅??.7%锛?涓?璋?2020骞?DP澧???棰?浼?.1涓??惧???硅??.6%??灏??卞??019骞?DP澧???棰?浼颁?璋?0.4涓??惧???硅??.2%锛?涓?璋?2020骞?DP澧???棰?浼?.1涓??惧???硅??.0%??</p><p><br/></p><p>缇??界?娴??剧?</p><p>缇?娆х?娴?????绋?搴︽?剁?<br/></p><p>????缇??藉??绋??╁ソ娑???锛??ㄧ??缁?娴??剧???褰卞??锛??ㄧ??璐告??椋??╁??匡?缇??界?娴?涔??ㄤ?瀹?绋?搴︽?剧?锛?缁???浜?2018骞翠????????灞????灏界?娆у???虹?娴???缁??茶蒋锛?浣?缇?娆х?娴?????绋?搴︽?剁???<br/></p><p>?ㄧ???堕??涓??茶蒋锛?缇?????ISM?堕??涓????颁?51.7锛???涓?2016骞?0??浠ユ?ユ?颁???涓?????瀹??瑰??璐㈡?板?堕??涓?PMI??浣?浜??ｆ??嚎涓??广??娆у???????堕??涓?PMI涔?杩?缁?涓???澶?浜??剁缉?洪?淬??<br/></p><p>缇??界?娴?澧??挎?剧?锛??????茶蒋<br/></p><p>缇??藉??绋?瀵圭?娴??烘?浣??ㄩ??娓?娑???锛?缇??芥??楂?璐告???崇?瀵艰?翠?涓???浜ф??????楂?锛???璧?淇″?寮卞??锛??????ㄧ??缁?娴??剧?瀵圭??界????绱??缇??界?娴??ㄤ?骞翠???骞翠????版?剧?杩硅薄??缇??戒?瀛ｅ害瀹???GDP??姣?澧???涓?.1%锛?浣?澧?骞?涓昏????板?哄?ｅ??搴?瀛?澧?????涓存?跺??绱?椹卞?????宸ヤ???浜ф??ㄥ??????????锛?浜?瀛ｅ害GDP???????锛?浠?缇??介?跺???????????ㄥ??璁㈠??绛????绘?版???ョ??锛?缇??????跺?????????澧???.55%锛?4?????澧???.29%锛?甯??洪?璁＄??戒?瀛ｅ害缁?娴?澧???灏??捐??涓?婊???<br/></p><p><br/></p><p>娆у???虹?娴???缁??茶蒋</p><p><br/></p><p>娆у???轰?瀛ｅ害GDP??姣????煎???.2%锛?涓?2018骞村??瀛ｅ害??骞筹?浣?涓鸿???骞村??浠ユ?ユ?颁???娆у???洪????姘村钩????????????娆″???斤?6??璋???CPI??姣?澧???.2%??6???堕??涓?PMI璺??47.6锛?杩?缁?涓???浣?浜??ｆ??嚎锛????′?PMI涓?3.6锛?浠?骞翠互?ユ?????瑰??锛?甯﹀?ㄧ患??PMI褰?寰?52.2??</p><p><br/></p><p>澶??璐?????疆</p><p>?ㄥ??榛?????姹?<br/></p><p>涓???榛?????浼????版?ュ???剧ず锛?2018骞村?ㄧ??榛???甯??烘?婚??姹???涓?438.9???2019骞寸?涓?瀛ｅ害榛????婚??姹???1059.7?????姣?澧???.5%???朵腑澶??璐?????榛???ETF璐＄??富瑕?澧??????蜂??ョ??锛?榛???棣?楗伴??姹?536.8???杈??诲勾澧???.53%??绉????ㄩ??79.3?????姣?涓?婊?3%锛??变??ㄧ??璐告???╂?﹀??澶э?宸ヤ???姹??剧???榛??????″????甯??婚??姹???姣?澧???.36%??58.7?ㄣ??<br/></p><p><br/></p><p>浣??????板?ㄧ??缁?娴?澧????剧???璐у??跨??惧??瀹芥?俱???卞?借?辨?绛?涓?纭???э???浠疯???诲勾10??浠戒互?ュ己?夸?娑??榛?????璧???姹?澶у?锛?涓?瀛ｅ害榛???ETF澧???8%??0.3???6??榛???ETF璧?浜х???瑙?妯″??杩?7骞存?ユ??澶ф??澧?骞?锛?璐＄???瓒?杩?涓?????璧?浜ц?妯″??裤??</p><p><br/></p><p>澶??璐???涔???涓洪?????姹???涓?澶т寒?广??浠?骞翠互?ワ??ㄧ??澶????榛?????璐?拱??涓?47.3?????姣?澧???3%???ㄥ???板?村??哄?藉?锛?渚?濡?淇?缃?????涓??姐?????冲?跺?????ㄥ?????︾户缁??ㄩ???璐?拱涓?????富瑕??颁?锛???????搴?锛?涓??藉?辫喘涔?3.8?ㄩ???锛????冲?跺ぎ琛?浜?2017骞???寮?濮??存?ヨ喘涔伴???锛?浠?骞磋喘涔伴??绾︿负49.3?ㄩ????????ㄥ?????﹀ぎ琛?浠?骞村凡璐?拱浜?20.5?ㄩ?????淇?缃????骞撮???璐?拱??涓?7.1?ㄣ???板害璐㈡?块??????琛ㄧず锛?????锛??板害澶ч??璐?疆榛???浠ユ?澶?姹??ㄥ?澶?????锛?浠?骞村?板害澶????灏?澧???190涓????哥??榛????ㄥ?锛?杩?涔???涓?浜??板害澶??榛????ㄥ?????绾????</p><p><br/></p><p>榛???渚?缁??稿?绋冲?</p><p>渚?搴?杩??╅???剁?<br/></p><p>涓???榛?????浼????版?ュ???剧ず锛?2018骞村?ㄧ??榛???甯??烘?讳?搴???涓?658.5???2019骞翠?瀛ｅ害?讳?搴???涓?150?????姣?澧???.26%???朵腑锛????夸骇??涓?52.4?????姣?澧???.09%锛???????287.6?????姣?澧???.7%??2019骞翠?瀛ｅ害锛??ㄧ??榛???甯??烘?讳?搴???涓?150????婚??姹???涓?059.7???渚?搴?杩???0.3???杩??╅??杈?2018骞村??捐???剁???瀵逛?涓???骞达?浠ョ????ㄤ负棣????ㄧ??璐у??跨??惧??瀹芥?撅?榛???浠?????璧???澶?澶撮??缃????╋?榛???ETF浠???涓???绌洪?淬???﹀?锛?涓轰?澧???澶?姹??ㄥ?涓板??э??垫??缇???椋??╋????藉ぎ琛?绾风悍???ヨ喘????疆锛?澶??璐???涔?灏??╁??榛?????姹?澧??匡???姝わ?棰?璁′???骞撮???渚?搴?杩??╅??灏?杩?涓?姝ユ?剁???<br/></p><p><br/></p><p>?ㄧ???介?跺?瀛?寤剁画绉???</p><p>?规????涓?????灞?缁?璁″??????板????版????瀹?娉扮?缁?璁℃?版???剧ず锛?2019骞?~4??锛??ㄧ???????朵骇??8130.67?????姣?涓???2%锛?????ⅷ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